Will COVID -19 Go Away this summer?

Some scientists suggest that the coronavirus might not tolerate changes in temperature and humidity.

Some evidence suggests that hot, humid weather correlates with a slower spread of the coronavirus. But it is still unclear if temperature-related changes can slow the pandemic.

According to a recent MIT report released in March areas with average temperatures between around 3 Celsius and 13 Celsius (37 F and 55 F ) had the most confirmed coronavirus cases.

While countries with average temperatures above about 18 C (64 F )made up less than 5% of total reported cases.

Similarly, European researches said that they found 95% of cases worldwide were recorded in colder areas.

China’s hot and humid cities experienced slower transmission retes than colder ones. Other researches found that the virus spread more forcefully in areas between 5 C and 11 C (41 F and 52 F ). Along with an average humidity rate between 50% and 80%.

But none of these papers have been peer-reviewed and factors like access to quality medical care, government action testing rates, the density of an area’s population and other principal factors in coronavirus transmission were not taken into consideration

Many studies have shown humidity greatly affects the transmission and of the flu. But viruses like SARS were only contained because of government interventions and not because of warm weather or higher humidity levels.

Coronavirus spreads similarly to the influenza virus as smell mucus droplets spread in the air.

Researches suggest that viruses lose infectivity because the particles lose structural integrity.

Therefore, knowing how the droplets evolve in different temperature and humidity conditions can tell us more about how infectious it can get.

Seasonal circumstances could contribute to a slower spread of viruses in warmer times of the year.

These include school breaks, having more personal space spending more time outdoors, and higher levels of vitamin D from getting more sunshine.

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